Figure 1Geographic boundaries of wards in Golestan provinces.
Figure 2Spatial pattern, local clusters and smoothed relative risk of esophageal cancer incidence during 2004–2008.
Figure 3Spatial pattern, local clusters and smoothed relative risk of gastric cancer incidence during 2004–2008.
Table 1The median (M), and 2.5 and 97.5 percentiles of covariates effects on log (relative risk) in the adjusted model.
Variables |
2004
|
2005
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2.5% |
M |
97.5% |
2.5% |
M |
97.5% |
2.5% |
M |
97.5% |
2.5% |
M |
97.5% |
2.5% |
M |
97.5% |
Area |
EC |
−0.960 |
−0.007 |
1.196 |
−0.614 |
0.284 |
2.327 |
−0.881 |
0.050 |
1.523 |
−0.995 |
−0.043 |
0.931 |
−0.709 |
0.139 |
1.085 |
GC |
−0.893 |
0.006 |
0.914 |
−0.697 |
0.058 |
0.934 |
−0.907 |
−0.034 |
0.817 |
−0.795 |
0.030 |
1.066 |
−1.037 |
−0.079 |
0.747 |
Sex |
EC |
−2.328 |
−0.038 |
2.183 |
−2.888 |
0.042 |
3.368 |
−2.302 |
−0.019 |
2.535 |
−2.323 |
−0.040 |
2.139 |
−2.391 |
0.004 |
2.201 |
GC |
−2.203 |
−0.017 |
2.050 |
−2.092 |
0.001 |
2.124 |
−2.093 |
−0.014 |
2.091 |
−2.074 |
−0.011 |
2.197 |
−2.238 |
−0.033 |
2.032 |
Age |
EC |
−1.980 |
−0.067 |
1.825 |
−2.702 |
−0.108 |
2.588 |
−2.117 |
−0.068 |
1.979 |
−1.704 |
−0.022 |
1.974 |
−2.228 |
−0.062 |
2.172 |
GC |
−1.749 |
−0.010 |
1.718 |
−1.736 |
−0.020 |
1.706 |
−1.626 |
−0.003 |
1.747 |
−1.973 |
−0.052 |
1.635 |
−1.735 |
−0.015 |
1.732 |
Table 2The median (M), and 2.5 percentile and 97.5 percentile of relative risk in each ward.
County |
2004
|
2005
|
2006
|
2007
|
2008
|
2.5% |
M |
97.5% |
2.5% |
M |
97.5% |
2.5% |
M |
97.5% |
2.5% |
M |
97.5% |
2.5% |
M |
97.5% |
Kalaleh |
EC |
1.638 |
2.211 |
2.893 |
1.269 |
1.763 |
2.359 |
1.470 |
2.010 |
2.690 |
1.223 |
1.703 |
2.317 |
1.321 |
1.806 |
2.425 |
GC |
0.883 |
1.247 |
1.751 |
0.830 |
1.143 |
1.582 |
0.855 |
1.202 |
1.669 |
0.811 |
1.169 |
1.649 |
0.805 |
1.152 |
1.618 |
Gonbad |
EC |
0.917 |
1.216 |
1.577 |
1.000 |
1.313 |
1.704 |
0.974 |
1.290 |
1.674 |
0.852 |
1.122 |
1.443 |
0.990 |
1.282 |
1.501 |
GC |
0.951 |
1.235 |
1.604 |
0.758 |
0.983 |
1.254 |
0.788 |
1.029 |
1.326 |
0.635 |
0.872 |
1.147 |
0.659 |
0.895 |
1.174 |
Minoodasht |
EC |
0.933 |
1.354 |
1.915 |
0.934 |
1.362 |
1.930 |
1.163 |
1.661 |
2.309 |
0.775 |
1.148 |
1.641 |
1.037 |
1.485 |
1.795 |
GC |
0.661 |
0.994 |
1.412 |
0.670 |
0.956 |
1.315 |
0.880 |
1.234 |
1.762 |
0.838 |
1.215 |
1.752 |
0.984 |
1.415 |
2.028 |
Aghghala |
EC |
0.303 |
0.578 |
0.961 |
0.719 |
1.120 |
1.686 |
0.447 |
0.782 |
1.253 |
0.460 |
0.762 |
1.158 |
0.462 |
0.776 |
1.017 |
GC |
0.409 |
0.733 |
1.115 |
0.713 |
1.014 |
1.423 |
0.532 |
0.845 |
1.211 |
0.471 |
0.793 |
1.206 |
0.518 |
0.829 |
1.228 |
BandarTurkaman |
EC |
0.384 |
0.656 |
1.039 |
0.293 |
0.547 |
0.881 |
0.565 |
0.909 |
1.412 |
0.409 |
0.685 |
1.041 |
0.413 |
0.680 |
0.921 |
GC |
0.455 |
0.751 |
1.101 |
0.587 |
0.878 |
1.206 |
0.507 |
0.795 |
1.133 |
0.385 |
0.682 |
1.052 |
0.490 |
0.787 |
1.148 |
Azadshahr |
EC |
0.523 |
0.901 |
1.442 |
0.517 |
0.891 |
1.425 |
0.407 |
0.770 |
1.277 |
0.585 |
0.949 |
1.448 |
0.475 |
0.832 |
12.212 |
GC |
0.680 |
1.045 |
1.556 |
0.535 |
0.857 |
1.213 |
0.670 |
1.015 |
1.492 |
0.466 |
0.807 |
1.256 |
0.618 |
0.977 |
1.467 |
Ramian |
EC |
0.213 |
0.505 |
0.933 |
0.331 |
0.694 |
1.183 |
0.209 |
0.511 |
0.958 |
0.376 |
0.709 |
1.132 |
0.341 |
0.687 |
0.929 |
GC |
0.521 |
0.888 |
1.333 |
0.480 |
0.809 |
1.166 |
0.378 |
0.748 |
1.129 |
0.565 |
0.924 |
1.447 |
0.446 |
0.789 |
1.219 |
Aliabad |
EC |
0.416 |
0.694 |
1.073 |
0.399 |
0.700 |
1.074 |
0.496 |
0.808 |
1.252 |
0.406 |
0.688 |
1.034 |
0.596 |
0.911 |
1.220 |
GC |
0.780 |
1.114 |
1.605 |
0.636 |
0.921 |
1.245 |
0.739 |
1.046 |
1.482 |
0.353 |
0.637 |
0.997 |
0.465 |
0.765 |
1.118 |
Gorgan |
EC |
0.507 |
0.701 |
0.941 |
0.479 |
0.665 |
0.898 |
0.365 |
0.531 |
0.739 |
0.753 |
0.974 |
1.250 |
0.462 |
0.635 |
0.811 |
GC |
0.606 |
0.812 |
1.054 |
0.842 |
1.065 |
1.331 |
0.762 |
0.972 |
1.233 |
0.945 |
1.202 |
1.505 |
0.882 |
1.124 |
1.411 |
Kordkooy |
EC |
0.449 |
0.821 |
1.403 |
0.501 |
0.892 |
1.522 |
0.280 |
0.599 |
1.096 |
0.324 |
0.643 |
1.086 |
0.415 |
0.763 |
1.114 |
GC |
0.555 |
0.919 |
1.424 |
0.732 |
1.066 |
1.592 |
0.506 |
0.847 |
1.285 |
0.828 |
1.311 |
2.090 |
0.395 |
0.745 |
1.181 |
Bandar Gaz |
EC |
0.343 |
0.717 |
1.372 |
0.208 |
0.540 |
1.042 |
0.233 |
0.575 |
1.145 |
0.317 |
0.668 |
1.194 |
0.471 |
0.886 |
1.232 |
GC |
0.674 |
1.114 |
1.916 |
0.618 |
0.984 |
1.524 |
0.406 |
0.781 |
1.258 |
0.437 |
0.851 |
1.454 |
0.475 |
0.872 |
1.473 |