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PHRP : Osong Public Health and Research Perspectives

OPEN ACCESS. pISSN: 2210-9099. eISSN: 2233-6052

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"Computing methodologies"

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"Computing methodologies"

Original Article
AI-powered COVID-19 forecasting: a comprehensive comparison of advanced deep learning methods
Muhammad Usman Tariq, Shuhaida Binti Ismail
Osong Public Health Res Perspect 2024;15(2):115-136.
Published online March 28, 2024
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24171/j.phrp.2023.0287
AI-powered COVID-19 forecasting: a comprehensive comparison of advanced deep learning methods
Objectives
The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic continues to pose significant challenges to the public health sector, including that of the United Arab Emirates (UAE). The objective of this study was to assess the efficiency and accuracy of various deep-learning models in forecasting COVID-19 cases within the UAE, thereby aiding the nation’s public health authorities in informed decision-making. Methods: This study utilized a comprehensive dataset encompassing confirmed COVID-19 cases, demographic statistics, and socioeconomic indicators. Several advanced deep learning models, including long short-term memory (LSTM), bidirectional LSTM, convolutional neural network (CNN), CNN-LSTM, multilayer perceptron, and recurrent neural network (RNN) models, were trained and evaluated. Bayesian optimization was also implemented to fine-tune these models. Results: The evaluation framework revealed that each model exhibited different levels of predictive accuracy and precision. Specifically, the RNN model outperformed the other architectures even without optimization. Comprehensive predictive and perspective analytics were conducted to scrutinize the COVID-19 dataset. Conclusion: This study transcends academic boundaries by offering critical insights that enable public health authorities in the UAE to deploy targeted data-driven interventions. The RNN model, which was identified as the most reliable and accurate for this specific context, can significantly influence public health decisions. Moreover, the broader implications of this research validate the capability of deep learning techniques in handling complex datasets, thus offering the transformative potential for predictive accuracy in the public health and healthcare sectors.

Citations

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  • Opportunities and challenges of artificial intelligence in public health: a systematic review on technological efficacy, ethical dilemmas, and governance pathways
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    Frontiers in Public Health.2026;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Enhancing Influenza-Like Illness forecasting: An ensemble approach combining mathematical and deep learning models amidst the COVID-19 pandemic
    Ganghyun Yoon, Amanda Bleichrodt, Gerardo Chowell, Sunmi Lee
    Epidemics.2026; 54: 100901.     CrossRef
  • Artificial Intelligence during a Public Health Crisis: A Trend Analysis of COVID-19 Research
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    Journal of Environmental Health Sciences.2025; 51(3): 109.     CrossRef
  • Detecting outbreaks using a spatial latent field
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    PLOS One.2025; 20(7): e0328770.     CrossRef
  • Wastewater as an early indicator for short-term forecasting COVID-19 hospitalization in Germany
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    BMC Public Health.2025;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Potential impacts of socio-economic changes on urban acoustic environment: evidence from 20 cities in Southern China
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    Environment, Development and Sustainability.2025;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Bridging statistics and deep learning: a causal data-fusion framework for epidemic prediction
    Vasileios E. Papageorgiou, Georgios Petmezas, Aristeidis Georgakis, Nicos Maglaveras, George Tsaklidis
    Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Comp.2025; : 1.     CrossRef
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