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PHRP : Osong Public Health and Research Perspectives

OPEN ACCESS. pISSN: 2210-9099. eISSN: 2233-6052

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"Pratana Satitvipawee"

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"Pratana Satitvipawee"

Original Article
Estimation of the onset time of diabetic complications in type 2 diabetes patients in Thailand: a survival analysis
Natthanicha Sauenram, Jutatip Sillabutra, Chukiat Viwatwongkasem, Pratana Satitvipawee
Osong Public Health Res Perspect 2023;14(6):508-519.
Published online November 23, 2023
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24171/j.phrp.2023.0084
Estimation of the onset time of diabetic complications in type 2 diabetes patients in Thailand: a survival analysis
Objectives
This study aimed to identify factors associated with the onset time of diabetic complications in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and determine the best-fitted survival model. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted among T2DM patients enrolled from October 1, 2016 to July 15, 2020 at the National Health Security Office (NHSO). In total, 388 T2DM patients were included. Cox proportional-hazard and parametric models were used to identify factors related to the onset time of diabetic complications. The Akaike information criterion, Bayesian information criterion, and Cox-Snell residual were compared to determine the best-fitted survival model. Results: Thirty diabetic complication events were detected among the 388 patients (7.7%). A 90% survival rate for the onset time of diabetic complications was found at 33 months after the first T2DM diagnosis. According to multivariate analysis, a duration of T2DM ≥42 months (time ratio [TR], 0.56; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.33–0.96; p=0.034), comorbid hypertension (TR, 0.30; 95% CI, 0.15–0.60; p=0.001), mildly to moderately reduced levels of the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (TR, 0.43; 95% CI, 0.24–0.75; p=0.003) and an eGFR that was severely reduced or indicative of kidney failure (TR, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.16–0.88; p=0.025) were significantly associated with the onset time of diabetic complications (p<0.05). Conclusion: Patients with T2DM durations of more than 42 months, comorbid hypertension, and decreased eGFR were at risk of developing diabetic complications. The NHSO should be aware of these factors to establish a policy to prevent diabetic complications after the diagnosis of T2DM.

Citations

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  • Survival and predictors of mortality among adults with type 2 diabetes at a teaching hospital in Ghana: a retrospective cohort study
    Issah Haruna, Abdul-Rauf Sulemana, Emmanuel Kweku Nakua, Daniel Boateng
    BMC Public Health.2026;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Survival analysis of patients with chronic diseases: a statistical approach to mortality risk factors
    Vladimiro Ibañez Quispe, Juan Reinaldo Paredes Quispe, Remo Choquejahua Acero, Teresa Paola Alvarez Rozas, Edgar Eloy Carpio Vargas, Godofredo Quispe Mamani, Percy Huata Panc
    Journal of Advanced Pharmacy Education and Researc.2026; 16(1): 211.     CrossRef
  • An elevated level of one-hour postprandial plasma glucose is an independent risk factor for developing chronic complications of type 2 diabetes mellitus
    Yanyan Jin, Jing Wei, Jie Yang, Hongxia Qian, Yan Wu, Mengmeng Liu
    Archives of Physiology and Biochemistry.2025; 131(6): 1025.     CrossRef
  • Advanced age and elevated cholesterol predict diabetic neuropathy in patients with type II diabetes mellitus in Southern Ethiopia
    Fasika Merid, Habtamu Esubalew, Tamirat Gezahegn Guyo, Firdawek Getahun
    Cardiovascular Diabetology – Endocrinology Reports.2025;[Epub]     CrossRef
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